Weekly Market Wrap Up, April 15, 2014

Market Overview:

US fundamental economic data should start to look a bit sunnier as a dreary winter fades away. The upcoming week will focus on March spending, retail sales, housing, and a first look into April regional manufacturing output. Inflation will probably remain low and well below the target of 2 percent as total costs have been so weak. Experts do not see inflation return to 2 percent for another two to three years. Consumer inflation in China remained well below the government’s target in March when the producer price index fell 2.3 percent, after a 2 percent drop in February extending the decline to 25 months. In Europe, Moody’s downgraded Turkey’s credit-rating outlook to negative from stable 11 months after upgrading the debt to investment grade.

Also in Europe Volkswagen, Europe’s largest carmaker, ruled out increasing its 6.7 Billion euro bid for the rest of Scania AB after some minority stakeholders rejected the deal as being too low. Volkswagen, which already controls 62.6 percent of Scania’s capital via direct and indirect holdings is pushing to offer 36 percent more than Scania’s closing price. The German carmaker only plans to pursue the bid if it can secure 90 percent of Scania.

Weekly Review:

  • Consumer Credit rose $2.3 Billion above analysts’ forecasts
  • Export Prices decreased 0.1%
  • Import Prices increased 0.4%
  • The Treasury Budget was decreased by $36.9 Billion
  • Natural Gas Inventories rose to 4 bcf

Things to look for next week:

  • Retail Sales
  • Core CPI
  • Crude Inventories

 

Article submitted by: J. Camilo Parra & David Gomez of the Capital Markets Lab (CML). To learn more about the Capital Markets Lab (CML) please visit https://business.fiu.edu/capital-markets-lab/.

About Capital Markets Lab

The Capital Markets Lab (CML) provides students, faculty, and the South Florida community with unparalleled educational and technological resources relating to finance. By utilizing the most current financial research platforms available, students are given an opportunity to supplement academic theory with the real world analytical tools used by leading financial institutions. Visit us at http://business.fiu.edu/capital-markets-lab/.

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